An earlier version was published some months ago in the Economic and Political Weekly (EPW). It is reproduced here in parts because the EPW version is difficult to access due to paywall
In this possibly-terminal phase of human
existence, democracy and freedom are more than values to be treasured, they may
well be essential to survival.
Noam Chomsky
Noam Chomsky’s grimly titled
book Hegemony or Survival (2003) opens with some observations
of contemporary biologist Ernst Mayr, who is sometimes referred to as ‘the
biological giant of the 20th century’ (Foreman 2004, 24). After proposing a
very reasonable notion of a species (de Queiroz 2005), Mayr (2001) held that
about 50 billion species have appeared on this planet since the origin of life.
He estimated that ‘the average life expectancy of a species is about 1,00,000
years’ (Chomsky 2003, 1). Exactly one of these 50 billion species ‘achieved the
kind of intelligence needed to establish a civilisation,’ Mayr notes (Chomksy
2003, 1). The civilisation-forming intelligence of this species is the topic
for this essay.
From studies on
sudden expansion of brain size (Striedter 2004), restructuring of the brain for
emergence of language (Crow 2010), and proliferation of tools and other signs
of culture, it is now estimated that the modern human species emerged roughly
about 1,00,000 years ago (Tattersall 2012). Following Mayr’s statistical rule,
then, the species is possibly nearing its end.
Sixth
‘intelligent’ extinction
We may hope to defy Mayr’s doomsday
scenario under the impression that the human species, apparently, has
remarkable control over its destiny, precisely due to the ‘kind of intelligence’
with which it is endowed. Humans may feel reassured that this kind of
intelligence will ultimately devise ways, technological and otherwise, to
protect the species beyond its statistical limit. Unfortunately, the hope seems
to lack foundations. Mayr’s controversial estimate is not the only clue for his
doomsday scenario. He proposed another perspective in which the prospect of
premature extinction is in fact enhanced by the human kind of intelligence. It
is just that the two scenarios seem to converge on the time left for the
species.
Biologists suggest
that there are two evolutionary scenarios that lead to the extinction of
species. The first form of species extinction is called background extinction. This form of extinction happens due to
background factors, such as low density of population, limited dispersal
ability, inbreeding, successional loss of habitat, climate change, competition,
predation, disease, and the like (Soulè 1996). There is considerable dispute
about the life of a species undergoing inevitable background extinction. As
noted, Mayr thought that species-life is as low as 1,00,000 years. Others
calculate it between 1 million and 5–10 million years.
Biologists also
list a second form of extinction—mass
extinction—in which more than 50% of all species on earth, at a given point
in time, are wiped out simultaneously due to some massive catastrophe.
Biologists identify five events in the last half a billion years when such
grand-scale extinction happened. The last of these—the Cretaceous—occurred when, 65 million years ago, dinosaurs and
many molluscs became extinct, most probably due to the strike of a giant
asteroid.
In either case,
species become extinct due to what may be viewed as natural reasons that are
external to the species. These occur in nature periodically due to
circumstances beyond the control of the members of the species. In these cases
of natural extinction on a geological scale, nothing much can be done in the
long run, even if a variety of ‘intelligence’ and other favourable factors
postpone the inevitable in the short run. At the current stage of knowledge,
there is no definite prediction that the human species is about to become
extinct due to the convergence of natural background factors or some
catastrophic event, such as the striking of a giant asteroid.
The prediction,
rather, is that, after a lapse of 65 million years, the conditions for
another—sixth—mass extinction are rapidly maturing. The human species is most
likely to disappear due to phenomena such as nuclear holocaust, massive
environmental destruction, global conflict, including biological warfare, asstronomical
poverty, irreversible damage to food chains, and maybe even just unavailability
of potable water. The extinction of the species will most likely be caused by
the suicidal behaviour of the species itself. As Chomsky puts
it, we are the asteroid.
The author of The
Sixth Extinction: An Unnatural History (2014), Elizabeth Kolbert
suggests in an interview (Drake 2015) that the factor of environmental
degradation due to human recklessness alone has enhanced the rate of species
extinction by more than 100 times the normal rate in just the last few hundred
years. This is because, Kolbert argues,
We loaded the extinction rate with widespread hunting, we
brought in invasive species. We are now changing the climate, very, very
rapidly, by geological standards. We are changing the chemistry of all the
oceans. We are changing the surface of the planet. We cut down forests, we
plant mono-culture agriculture, which is not good for a lot of species. We’re
overfishing. (Drake 2015).
The list goes on and on. To
emphasise, Kolbert’s picture only includes extinction of other species
triggering mass extinction. To this picture, we need to add factors like
nuclear holocaust, global war, dislocation of food chains, massive famines,
depletion of potable water, and the like, which more directly relate to the extinction
of the human species itself.
Significantly, each
of these doomsday scenarios is critically linked to the species’ unique
endowment of the ‘kind of intelligence needed to establish a civilisation’
(Chomsky 2003, 1). No other species remotely has the ability to change the
chemistry of the planet, and pollute much of the potable water on earth, by its
own diligent effort in just a few hundred years, not to mention the ability to
construct weapons of mass destruction, to which we will return.
As Mayr pointed
out, there is no evidence that nature prefers intelligence over stupidity:
beetles and bacteria, for example, are vastly more successful than the great
apes, not to mention humans, in terms of survival. Looking at humans through
this long lens of evolution, it could well be, Chomsky holds, that humans were
a kind of ‘biological’ error, using their allotted 1,00,000 years to destroy
themselves and much else in the process with ‘cold and calculated savagery’
(2003, 2).
The centrality of
the notions of intelligence and stupidity brings the topic of the imminent
extinction of the species within the broad domain of education. Hence, the
title of this essay.
(To be Continued)
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